Download PDFOpen PDF in browserUncertainty Analysis of a Temperature-Index Snowmelt Model Using Bayesian Networks11 pages•Published: September 20, 2018AbstractUncertainty analysis of hydrological models often requires a large number of model runs, which can be time consuming and computationally intensive. In order to reduce the number of runs required for uncertainty prediction, we explore in this study the potential of Bayesian Networks (BNs). A BN is created using a simple version of Temperature-Index Snowmelt Model. Next, uncertainty analysis is performed using both the BN method and Monte-Carlo (MC) simulations. The results show that BN method gives similar results to the MC method and can be used for real-time applications.Keyphrases: bayesian networks (bns), deterministic models (dm), uncertainty analysis In: Goffredo La Loggia, Gabriele Freni, Valeria Puleo and Mauro De Marchis (editors). HIC 2018. 13th International Conference on Hydroinformatics, vol 3, pages 310-320.
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